← All 18 theoriesAnthony Roberts, Jr.
No. 12Already happeningEvidence ●●● Strong

Every message is a possible trap.

Scam texts, fake emails and bad links will keep growing, because most people can’t tell a real message from a good fake.

Americans reported losing $15.9 billion to fraud in 2025, up from $12.5 billion in 2024. Reports rose from 2.6 million to about 3 million in a year.1 Scams that started with a text message took $470 million, five times the 2020 total.2

$15.9B
lost by Americans to fraud in 2025, a record. The FTC says the real figure is likely far higher because most scams go unreported.
Data: 2025 · FTC, reported to Congress March 2026

Americans reported losing a record $15.9 billion to fraud in 2025, up from $12.5 billion in 2024 (FTC).

The trend

More numbers

$1.9B

lost to scams that started on social media in 2024. 70% of people contacted that way lost money.3

$501M

lost to job scams in 2024, up from $90 million in 2020.4

44%

of 2024 fraud reports came from Americans aged 20 to 29.4

The other side

Banks and phone carriers block more scam texts and calls every year, and part of the rise reflects more people reporting.

−26%

fewer text-scam reports in 2024 than in 2020: 247,000, down from 332,000. FTC data ↗

2.6M

fraud reports in 2024, about the same number as the year before. Federal Trade Commission ↗

Why Anthony still holds this view

Fewer reports with larger losses means scams are getting better, not fewer.

For marketers

Your brand will be impersonated. Tell customers exactly how you will and won’t contact them, and keep those channels consistent.

For you

Don’t tap links in unexpected texts. Go to the company’s app or website yourself.

Related theories

Sources

  1. Federal Trade Commission, Consumer Sentinel Network Data Book 2024
  2. Federal Trade Commission, text message scam data, April 2025
  3. FTC Consumer Sentinel data, social media scams, 2024
  4. FTC data via SC Media, 2025

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