← All 18 theoriesAnthony Roberts, Jr.
No. 11Within 5 yearsEvidence ●●● Strong

Seeing is no longer believing.

Fake photos, voices and videos made by AI now look real.

People who can spot fakes will pull further ahead of people who can’t. 76% of Americans say it is important to know whether content was made by AI, but 53% are not confident they could tell.1 When U.S. adults were tested on 16 real and fake visuals, their accuracy was no better than guessing.2

53%
of Americans are not confident they can tell whether something was made by AI or by a person.
Data: 2025 · Pew Research Center

53% of Americans are not confident they could tell whether content was made by AI or a person (Pew Research Center, 2025).

More numbers

63%

of American adults are familiar with the term “deepfake.”2

70%

of U.S. respondents picked the deepfake as the real video in one side-by-side test.2

15%

of Americans say they no longer know what is real online at all.3

“Many don’t trust their own ability to spot AI-generated content.”

Pew Research Center, 2025

The other side

Detection tools and content labels are improving, and most people still see far more real media than fake.

98%

accuracy for a commercial deepfake detector tested on 300 fake videos. TEM Journal, 2025 ↗

95%

accuracy for a well-tuned detection model on a standard benchmark. PLOS One, 2025 ↗

Why Anthony still holds this view

Detectors work in labs, accuracy drops on compressed real-world video, and people don’t run detectors on their feeds.

For marketers

Label your AI-made content and show proof of what is real: behind-the-scenes footage, verified accounts, named people.

For you

Before sharing a shocking image or clip, look for a second source.

Related theories

Sources

  1. Pew Research Center, survey of 5,000 U.S. adults, 2025
  2. Veriff, Deepfakes Report 2026, U.S. results
  3. Checkr, “The Great Untrust” U.S. consumer report, 2025

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